Grow Fragrance · Analytics

Datahub Pre-Production

⚠ Pre-Production Library
Prototypes, Proof of Concepts, Draft Reporting, and Reference Guides — All Items are Non-Finalized and for Review Purposes Only
Growth Analysis
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Holiday 2026 Growth Analysis — Balanced Outlook

Pre-season unit growth analysis. Economic HEADWIND (Michigan CSI 44.8, all-time low; real DPI declining). Recommended rate: 7.5%. Band: 7.0%–8.5%. Includes financial risk assessment and VaR (~$154K at 70% confidence).

Ready for Review2026-06-02 · Skill v3.3.1 · Dave Delissio
Reference Guides
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Grow Data — Entity Relationship Diagram & Table Catalog

Full schema reference for the Grow Datahub parquet lake. Tables, column definitions, data lineage diagrams, and source-to-target mappings.

Ready for ReviewApr 2026 · Technical reference
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DuckDB Platform Evaluation & Implementation Guide

Technical case for Grow's DuckDB + Parquet + Python analytics stack. Architecture layers, schema standards, no-infrastructure rationale, implementation roadmap.

Ready for ReviewMar 2026 · v2.25
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Product Forecasting & Inventory Optimization Guide

Grow's end-to-end forecasting methodology: demand models, decay curves, newsvendor inventory targets, and seasonal planning. Interactive charts and calculators.

Ready for ReviewMay 2026 · Reference
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Newsvendor Cost Weighting — Asymmetric Error Costs

Why standard accuracy metrics miss the real cost of inventory errors, and how the newsvendor model sets smarter stocking targets using Grow's Cu and Co values.

Ready for ReviewMar 2026 · v1.0
Holiday 2026 — Archived
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Holiday 2026 — Historical Performance & Forecast

Six-tab master report: 2026 plan (31,453 units, +30.1% vs H2025), seasonal demand curves, historical SKU performance, growth target assessment, V6 config as-run, and Engine Audit.

Archived2026-05-29 · V6 locked · Dave Delissio
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Grow Engine Configurator — Holiday Season

Real-time FM-01 engine simulator. Bear / Base / Bull scenario toggle, H2025 actuals vs H2026 forecasted, retired fragrance actuals, and Export Config (.yaml).

Archived2026-06-01 · V3 · Dave Delissio
forecast.growfragrance.ai · Pre-Production · Internal use only
All documents require Dave’s sign-off before external distribution.